RESEARCH PICK
Garrett Wilson
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ12.2FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Sam LaPorta this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Garrett Wilson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Garrett Wilson after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs MIATHE ALTERNATIVE
Sam LaPorta
TE ยท DETStats & schedule โบ12.0FF projected
โ +1.8 vs ESPN
vs GBSun 4:25 PM ET
Garrett Wilson
FF12.2 FP
Boosted Trees11.8 FP
Workload9.3 FP
Monte Carlo9.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.2 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.0 targets per game.
Sam LaPorta
FF12.0 FP
Boosted Trees7.9 FP
Workload10.5 FP
Monte Carlo10.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 17.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 17.9 FP.
- The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Garrett Wilson
Fortified12.2
ESPN12.2
Sleeper13.9
FantasyProsโ
Garrett Wilson faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Sam LaPorta
Fortified12.0
ESPN10.2
Sleeper10.9
FantasyProsโ
Sam LaPorta faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 17.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
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