THE ALTERNATIVE
Garrett Wilson
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›12.1FF projected
↓ -0.1 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Tee Higgins this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tee Higgins
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Tee Higgins averaged 9.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 7.0 for Garrett Wilson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tee Higgins: 12.2 versus 10.2 FP per game. Tee Higgins receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs MIARESEARCH PICK
Tee Higgins
WR · CINStats & schedule ›12.4FF projected
↑ +0.8 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Garrett Wilson
FF12.1 FP
Boosted Trees11.8 FP
Workload9.3 FP
Monte Carlo9.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.2 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.0 targets per game.
Tee Higgins
FF12.4 FP
Boosted Trees10.3 FP
Workload13.3 FP
Monte Carlo13.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 12.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.0 targets per game.
Garrett Wilson
Fortified12.1
ESPN12.2
Sleeper13.8
FantasyPros—
Garrett Wilson faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Tee Higgins
Fortified12.4
ESPN11.6
Sleeper12.6
FantasyPros—
Tee Higgins faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.2 fantasy points.
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