THE ALTERNATIVE
Garrett Wilson
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ9.4FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Sam LaPorta this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Sam LaPorta
Week 7 ยท Standard
Sam LaPorta averaged 7.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 7.0 for Garrett Wilson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Sam LaPorta: 14.6 versus 7.8 FP per game. Sam LaPorta receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-1.25% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs MIARESEARCH PICK
Sam LaPorta
TE ยท DETStats & schedule โบ9.6FF projected
โ +1.9 vs ESPN
vs GBSun 4:25 PM ET
Garrett Wilson
FF9.4 FP
Boosted Trees9.1 FP
Workload7.1 FP
Monte Carlo7.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.8 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.0 targets per game.
Sam LaPorta
FF9.6 FP
Boosted Trees8.6 FP
Workload8.0 FP
Monte Carlo7.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 14.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 14.6 FP.
- The GB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Garrett Wilson
Fortified9.4
ESPN9.4
Sleeper10.9
FantasyProsโ
Garrett Wilson faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Sam LaPorta
Fortified9.6
ESPN7.7
Sleeper8.5
FantasyProsโ
Sam LaPorta faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
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