RESEARCH PICK
DK Metcalf
WR ยท PITStats & schedule โบ11.8FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start DK Metcalf or Garrett Wilson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DK Metcalf
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
DK Metcalf averaged 9.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 7.0 for Garrett Wilson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors DK Metcalf: 10.9 versus 10.2 FP per game. DK Metcalf receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at NOTHE ALTERNATIVE
Garrett Wilson
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ12.2FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
DK Metcalf
FF11.8 FP
Boosted Trees11.6 FP
Workload12.4 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.3 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.3 targets per game.
Garrett Wilson
FF12.2 FP
Boosted Trees11.8 FP
Workload9.3 FP
Monte Carlo9.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.2 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
DK Metcalf
Fortified11.8
ESPN12.5
Sleeper10.3
FantasyProsโ
DK Metcalf faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.9 fantasy points.
Garrett Wilson
Fortified12.2
ESPN12.2
Sleeper13.9
FantasyProsโ
Garrett Wilson faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Donโt just win Sunday.
Win whatโs next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS โ
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your leagueโs rules.
