Should I start Dallas Goedert or Mason Taylor this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Dallas Goedert

Week 9 · Half-PPR

Dallas Goedert has the higher current FF forecast: 7.5 FP versus 7.2 FP. The 0.3-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.

Forecast updated Nov 4, 2026, 11:58 AM ET · Half-PPR

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

FF PICK

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHIStats & schedule

7.5FF projected

↑ +0.8 vs ESPN

vs NYG

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Mason Taylor

TE · NYJStats & schedule

7.2FF projected

↑ +0.5 vs ESPN

at KC

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Dallas Goedert and Mason Taylor?

Dallas Goedert and Mason Taylor are separated by 0.3 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.

Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Dallas Goedert higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert has a 7.5 FP forecast in Half-PPR against NYG. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.2 FP, putting this forecast 0.3 points above that average.

Mason Taylor

Mason Taylor has a 7.2 FP forecast in Half-PPR at KC. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.5 FP, putting this forecast 3.3 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 5%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Dallas Goedert	Mason Taylor	Projected edge
ESPN	6.7 FP	6.7 FP	Effectively level
Sleeper	7.8 FP	5.9 FP	Dallas Goedert +1.9
FantasyPros	7.7 FP	5.5 FP	Dallas Goedert +2.2
Boosted Trees	6.7 FP	3.9 FP	Dallas Goedert +2.8

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Dallas Goedert: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Mason Taylor: Sun 1:00 PM ET.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position · WEEK 9 · Half-PPR

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

10.815.3

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.7Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 13.9
15.2Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 14.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 13.3Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 12.6
14.1Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 12.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 11.9
12.0Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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