
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Greg Dulcich this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Greg Dulcich
Week 9 ยท Half-PPR
Greg Dulcich has the higher current FF forecast: 8.0 FP versus 7.5 FP. The 0.5-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Greg Dulcich
TE ยท MIAStats & schedule โบDallas Goedert
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.8 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.2 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Greg Dulcich
- Recent scoring average: 8.7 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert faces NYG in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 7.2 fantasy points.
Greg Dulcich
Greg Dulcich faces DET in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 8.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.7Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 13.915.2Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 12.614.1Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 11.912.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Greg Dulcich8.0projected FP
Tyler Warren9.3projected FP
Greg Dulcich8.0projected FP
Mike Gesicki8.1projected FP
Greg Dulcich8.0projected FP
Brenton Strange8.1projected FP
Greg Dulcich8.0projected FP
Kyle Pitts Sr.8.3projected FP
Brock Bowers15.2projected FP
George Kittle14.1projected FP
George Kittle14.1projected FP
Trey McBride12.0projected FP
Trey McBride12.0projected FP
Sam LaPorta10.3projected FP
Sam LaPorta10.3projected FP
Colston Loveland10.1projected FP
Colston Loveland10.1projected FP
Isaiah Likely10.1projected FP
Isaiah Likely10.1projected FP
Travis Kelce10.0projected FP