
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Mason Taylor this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Dallas Goedert
Week 9 ยท PPR
Dallas Goedert has the higher current FF forecast: 9.7 FP versus 9.2 FP. The 0.5-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท PPR




Mason Taylor
TE ยท NYJStats & schedule โบDallas Goedert
- Recent scoring average: 9.7 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Mason Taylor
- Recent scoring average: 12.5 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert faces NYG in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.7 fantasy points.
Mason Taylor
Mason Taylor faces KC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 12.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Dallas Goedert and Mason Taylor?
Dallas Goedert and Mason Taylor are separated by 0.5 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros project Dallas Goedert higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Dallas Goedert
Dallas Goedert has a 9.7 FP forecast in PPR against NYG. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.7 FP.
Mason Taylor
Mason Taylor has a 9.2 FP forecast in PPR at KC. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.5 FP, putting this forecast 3.2 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 5%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Dallas Goedert | Mason Taylor | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 8.9 FP | 8.4 FP | Dallas Goedert +0.5 |
| Sleeper | 9.6 FP | 7.7 FP | Dallas Goedert +1.9 |
| FantasyPros | 9.7 FP | 7.0 FP | Dallas Goedert +2.7 |
Before the first kickoff. Dallas Goedert: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Mason Taylor: Sun 1:00 PM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 18.8FantasyPros 17.218.6Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.9Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.117.0Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 15.615.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Dallas Goedert9.7projected FP
T.J. Hockenson11.3projected FP
Dallas Goedert9.7projected FP
Dalton Kincaid9.5projected FP
Dallas Goedert9.7projected FP
Mike Gesicki9.5projected FP
Dallas Goedert9.7projected FP
Brenton Strange10.1projected FP
Brock Bowers18.6projected FP
George Kittle17.0projected FP
George Kittle17.0projected FP
Trey McBride15.4projected FP
Trey McBride15.4projected FP
Colston Loveland12.9projected FP
Colston Loveland12.9projected FP
Travis Kelce12.4projected FP
Travis Kelce12.4projected FP
Sam LaPorta12.4projected FP
Sam LaPorta12.4projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.12.3projected FP
DeMario Douglas
Aaron Jones Sr.
Mason Taylor