Should I drop Wil Lutz for Trey Smack?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Wil Lutz

This week’s projections are 8.1 FP for Wil Lutz and 7.1 FP for Trey Smack. Wil Lutz retains a 5.1 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.0%rostered on ESPN+0.30 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Trey Smack

K · GB · vs NE

Stats & schedule ›

7.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

10.5%rostered on ESPN-0.45 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Wil Lutz is 7.0% rostered; Trey Smack is 10.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 7.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.30 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Trey Smack

Trey Smack projects for 7.1 Standard points against NE this week. His recent scoring average is 6.0 FP. He is rostered in 10.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.45 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.1 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.5 FP
FantasyPros: 6.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Wil Lutz	Trey Smack
Next 3 weeks	16.6 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	14.7 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	74.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	69.5 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	32.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	30.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Wil Lutz	Trey Smack
Week 9	8.1 FPvs CARHigher projection	7.1 FPvs NE
Week 10	BYE	7.6 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 11	8.5 FPvs LVHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	8.6 FPvs PITHigher projection	8.0 FPvs LAR
Week 13	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection	8.2 FPvs NO
Week 14	8.1 FPvs NYJ	8.1 FPvs BUF
Week 15	8.3 FPvs LVHigher projection	8.2 FPvs MIA
Week 16	8.3 FPvs BUFHigher projection	7.0 FPvs CHI
Week 17	8.0 FPvs NE	8.1 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 18	8.2 FPvs LACHigher projection	7.4 FPvs DET