Should I drop Wil Lutz for Jake Bates?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 8.1 FP for Wil Lutz and 9.2 FP for Jake Bates. Jake Bates is ahead by 10.0 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 1.0 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:05 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.0%rostered on ESPN+0.32 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Jake Bates

K · DET · vs MIA

Stats & schedule ›

9.2FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

51.4%rostered on ESPN+2.14 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Wil Lutz is 7.0% rostered; Jake Bates is 51.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 7.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.32 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Jake Bates

Jake Bates projects for 9.2 Standard points against MIA this week. His recent scoring average is 7.5 FP. He is rostered in 51.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 2.14 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.2 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.3 FP
FantasyPros: 8.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Wil Lutz	Jake Bates
Next 3 weeks	16.6 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	26.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	74.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	84.7 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	33.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	32.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Wil Lutz	Jake Bates
Week 9	8.1 FPvs CAR	9.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 10	BYE	8.7 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 11	8.5 FPvs LV	8.7 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 12	8.5 FPvs PITHigher projection	8.0 FPvs CHI
Week 13	8.4 FPvs MIA	8.6 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 14	8.1 FPvs NYJ	9.4 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 15	8.3 FPvs LVHigher projection	8.0 FPvs MIN
Week 16	8.4 FPvs BUF	8.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 17	8.0 FPvs NEHigher projection	7.5 FPvs CHI
Week 18	8.2 FPvs LACHigher projection	8.0 FPvs GB