Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Michael Penix Jr.?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Patrick Mahomes II

This week’s projections are 19.4 FP for Patrick Mahomes II and 15.6 FP for Michael Penix Jr.. Patrick Mahomes II retains a 51.1 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.7%rostered on ESPN+0.33 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

15.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

Planning a bid? Michael Penix Jr. FAAB guide ↗

15.7%rostered on ESPN-0.13 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 92.7% rostered; Michael Penix Jr. is 15.7% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.4 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 92.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.33 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.4 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 20.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Michael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr. projects for 15.6 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 13.9 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 15.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.13 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 15.6 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 15.8 FP
Sleeper: 16.1 FP
FantasyPros: 16.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 14.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Michael Penix Jr.
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	29.9 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	188.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	136.8 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	74.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	62.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Michael Penix Jr.
Week 9	19.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection	15.6 FPvs CIN
Week 10	17.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection	14.3 FPvs KC
Week 11	22.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection	11.0 FPvs MIN
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LAR	19.6 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 14	19.3 FPvs CINHigher projection	13.9 FPvs CLE
Week 15	18.6 FPvs NEHigher projection	17.5 FPvs WAS
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SFHigher projection	13.0 FPvs TB
Week 17	17.4 FPvs LACHigher projection	17.0 FPvs NO
Week 18	20.7 FPvs LVHigher projection	14.9 FPvs CAR