Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Malik Willis?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Patrick Mahomes II

This week’s projections are 19.4 FP for Patrick Mahomes II and 19.1 FP for Malik Willis. Patrick Mahomes II retains a 25.6 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.8%rostered on ESPN+0.09 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · vs DET

Stats & schedule ›

19.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Planning a bid? Malik Willis FAAB guide ↗

22.3%rostered on ESPN+0.65 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 92.8% rostered; Malik Willis is 22.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.4 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 92.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.09 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.4 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 20.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Malik Willis

Malik Willis projects for 19.1 Standard points against DET this week. His recent scoring average is 20.3 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 22.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.65 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.1 FP +1.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 17.4 FP
Sleeper: 17.1 FP
FantasyPros: 17.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Malik Willis
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	52.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	188.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	162.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	74.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	61.8 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Malik Willis
Week 9	19.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection	19.1 FPvs DET
Week 10	17.4 FPvs ATL	17.4 FPvs IND
Week 11	22.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection	16.2 FPvs BUF
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection	16.5 FPvs NYJ
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LARHigher projection	15.0 FPvs DEN
Week 14	19.3 FPvs CINHigher projection	16.2 FPvs CHI
Week 15	18.6 FPvs NEHigher projection	14.5 FPvs GB
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SFHigher projection	15.2 FPvs LAC
Week 17	17.4 FPvs LACHigher projection	16.5 FPvs BUF
Week 18	20.7 FPvs LVHigher projection	15.7 FPvs NE