Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Matthew Stafford?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Check the pickup before making a move

Matthew Stafford needs a current availability or game-status check. Do not drop Patrick Mahomes II on the strength of an unresolved projection.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

89.5%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

19.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Check availability before adding

91.9%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 89.5% rostered; Matthew Stafford is 91.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 89.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.3 FP
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 20.8 FP
FantasyPros: 19.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford projects for 19.1 Standard points against WAS this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 91.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. His injury designation makes this a conditional pickup; verify his status before committing. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.1 FP
ESPN: 16.9 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 18.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 17.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Matthew Stafford
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	39.2 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	187.3 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	141.2 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	74.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	58.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Matthew Stafford
Week 9	19.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	19.1 FPvs WAS
Week 10	17.3 FPvs ATL	20.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 11	22.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection	14.8 FPvs GB
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LARHigher projection	14.3 FPvs KC
Week 14	18.2 FPvs CINHigher projection	14.7 FPvs SF
Week 15	18.2 FPvs NE	19.7 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SFHigher projection	12.2 FPvs SEA
Week 17	17.6 FPvs LACHigher projection	13.8 FPvs TB
Week 18	21.2 FPvs LVHigher projection	12.5 FPvs SEA