Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Josh Allen?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Josh Allen is behind by 1.3 FP this week, ahead by 53.8 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 26.8 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:34 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

89.5%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

18.0FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 89.5% rostered; Josh Allen is 99.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 89.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.3 FP
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 20.8 FP
FantasyPros: 19.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Josh Allen

Josh Allen projects for 18.0 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 22.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.0 FP
ESPN: 19.9 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 21.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Josh Allen
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	71.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	187.3 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	241.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	74.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	101.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Josh Allen
Week 9	19.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	18.0 FPvs MIN
Week 10	17.3 FPvs ATL	24.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 11	22.6 FPvs ARI	28.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUF	22.1 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LAR	23.8 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 14	18.2 FPvs CIN	22.3 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 15	18.2 FPvs NE	25.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SF	22.5 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 17	17.6 FPvs LAC	28.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 18	21.2 FPvs LV	25.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection