Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Kyler Murray?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Check the pickup before making a move

Kyler Murray needs a current availability or game-status check. Do not drop Patrick Mahomes II on the strength of an unresolved projection.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 3:15 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.7%rostered on ESPN+0.36 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

10.2FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

Check availability before adding

53.5%rostered on ESPN-2.83 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 92.7% rostered; Kyler Murray is 53.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.4 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 92.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.4 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 20.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray projects for 10.2 Standard points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 16.9 FP. He is rostered in 53.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 2.83 percentage points. His injury designation makes this a conditional pickup; verify his status before committing. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.2 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
FantasyPros: 5.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Kyler Murray
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	37.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	188.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	155.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	74.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	71.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Kyler Murray
Week 9	19.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection	10.2 FPvs BUF
Week 10	17.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection	13.5 FPvs GB
Week 11	22.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection	14.0 FPvs SF
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection	15.0 FPvs ATL
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LARHigher projection	16.0 FPvs CAR
Week 14	19.3 FPvs CINHigher projection	15.3 FPvs NE
Week 15	18.6 FPvs NE	20.4 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SF	18.4 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	17.4 FPvs LACHigher projection	16.3 FPvs NYJ
Week 18	20.7 FPvs LVHigher projection	16.1 FPvs CHI