Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Bo Nix?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Patrick Mahomes II

This week’s projections are 19.4 FP for Patrick Mahomes II and 15.4 FP for Bo Nix. Patrick Mahomes II retains a 41.4 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 3:14 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.7%rostered on ESPN+0.36 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

15.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

59.5%rostered on ESPN+0.59 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 92.7% rostered; Bo Nix is 59.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.4 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 92.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.4 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 20.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Bo Nix

Bo Nix projects for 15.4 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 16.6 FP. He is rostered in 59.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.59 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 15.4 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 15.7 FP
Sleeper: 14.7 FP
FantasyPros: 16.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Bo Nix
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	33.8 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	188.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	146.6 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	74.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	64.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Bo Nix
Week 9	19.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection	15.4 FPvs CAR
Week 10	17.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	22.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection	18.4 FPvs LV
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection	13.3 FPvs PIT
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LAR	18.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 14	19.3 FPvs CINHigher projection	16.2 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	18.6 FPvs NEHigher projection	18.0 FPvs LV
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SFHigher projection	16.5 FPvs BUF
Week 17	17.4 FPvs LACHigher projection	15.2 FPvs NE
Week 18	20.7 FPvs LVHigher projection	14.9 FPvs LAC