Should I drop Matt Gay for Ka'imi Fairbairn?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 9.1 FP for Matt Gay and 9.3 FP for Ka'imi Fairbairn. Ka'imi Fairbairn is ahead by 11.7 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 1.0 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:10 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Matt Gay

K · LV · vs SF

Stats & schedule ›

9.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

57.8%rostered on ESPN+0.01 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Ka'imi Fairbairn

K · HOU · vs LAC

Stats & schedule ›

9.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

82.3%rostered on ESPN+1.21 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Matt Gay is 57.8% rostered; Ka'imi Fairbairn is 82.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 9.1 Standard points against SF this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 57.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.01 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.1 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.2 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Ka'imi Fairbairn

Ka'imi Fairbairn projects for 9.3 Standard points against LAC this week. His recent scoring average is 11.0 FP. He is rostered in 82.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.21 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.3 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.8 FP
Sleeper: 9.0 FP
FantasyPros: 8.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Matt Gay	Ka'imi Fairbairn
Next 3 weeks	26.4 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	28.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	82.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	94.2 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	37.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	36.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Matt Gay	Ka'imi Fairbairn
Week 9	9.1 FPvs SF	9.3 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 10	8.6 FPvs SEA	8.9 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 11	8.8 FPvs DEN	10.6 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 12	9.0 FPvs CLE	9.5 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	9.7 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 14	9.5 FPvs LAC	9.6 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 15	9.2 FPvs DEN	9.2 FPvs JAC
Week 16	10.0 FPvs TENHigher projection	9.4 FPvs PHI
Week 17	9.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection	8.3 FPvs GB
Week 18	8.9 FPvs KC	9.7 FPvs TENHigher projection