Should I drop Matt Gay for Brandon Aubrey?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Brandon Aubrey for Matt Gay

This week’s projections are 9.1 FP for Matt Gay and 10.6 FP for Brandon Aubrey. Brandon Aubrey leads by 5.7 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Matt Gay

K · LV · vs SF

Stats & schedule ›

9.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

57.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Brandon Aubrey

K · DAL · vs IND

Stats & schedule ›

10.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

97.9%rostered on ESPN+0.19 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Matt Gay is 57.8% rostered; Brandon Aubrey is 97.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 9.1 Standard points against SF this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 57.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.1 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.2 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Brandon Aubrey

Brandon Aubrey projects for 10.6 Standard points against IND this week. His recent scoring average is 9.0 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 97.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.19 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.6 FP +0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.5 FP
Sleeper: 10.0 FP
FantasyPros: 9.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Matt Gay	Brandon Aubrey
Next 3 weeks	26.4 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	31.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	82.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	88.1 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	37.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	38.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Matt Gay	Brandon Aubrey
Week 9	9.1 FPvs SF	10.6 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 10	8.6 FPvs SEA	10.9 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 11	8.8 FPvs DEN	9.8 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 12	9.0 FPvs CLE	9.7 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	8.9 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 14	9.5 FPvs LACHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	9.2 FPvs DEN	10.0 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 16	10.0 FPvs TENHigher projection	9.4 FPvs JAC
Week 17	9.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection	9.2 FPvs NYG
Week 18	8.9 FPvs KC	9.5 FPvs WASHigher projection