Should I drop Jake Bates for Brandon Aubrey?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 9.2 FP for Jake Bates and 10.7 FP for Brandon Aubrey. Brandon Aubrey is ahead by 3.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 6.1 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:05 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Jake Bates

K · DET · vs MIA

Stats & schedule ›

9.2FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

51.4%rostered on ESPN+2.14 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Brandon Aubrey

K · DAL · vs IND

Stats & schedule ›

10.7FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

97.9%rostered on ESPN+0.20 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Jake Bates is 51.4% rostered; Brandon Aubrey is 97.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Jake Bates

Jake Bates projects for 9.2 Standard points against MIA this week. His recent scoring average is 7.5 FP. He is rostered in 51.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 2.14 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.2 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.3 FP
FantasyPros: 8.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Brandon Aubrey

Brandon Aubrey projects for 10.7 Standard points against IND this week. His recent scoring average is 9.0 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 97.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.20 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.7 FP +0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.5 FP
Sleeper: 10.0 FP
FantasyPros: 9.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Jake Bates	Brandon Aubrey
Next 3 weeks	26.6 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	31.4 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	84.7 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	88.2 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	32.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	38.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Jake Bates	Brandon Aubrey
Week 9	9.2 FPvs MIA	10.7 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 10	8.7 FPvs NE	10.9 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 11	8.7 FPvs TB	9.8 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 12	8.0 FPvs CHI	9.7 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 13	8.6 FPvs ATL	8.9 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 14	9.4 FPvs TENHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	8.0 FPvs MIN	10.0 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 16	8.5 FPvs NYG	9.4 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 17	7.5 FPvs CHI	9.2 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 18	8.0 FPvs GB	9.5 FPvs WASHigher projection