Should I drop Jake Bates for Cairo Santos?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Cairo Santos is behind by 0.6 FP this week, behind by 10.6 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 0.1 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:40 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Jake Bates

K · DET · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

7.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

41.0%rostered on ESPN+0.02 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Cairo Santos

K · CHI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

7.0FF projected FP

Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET

25.4%rostered on ESPN+0.16 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Jake Bates is 41.0% rostered; Cairo Santos is 25.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Jake Bates

Jake Bates projects for 7.6 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 41.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.6 FP
ESPN: 8.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.6 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.3–15.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Cairo Santos

Cairo Santos projects for 7.0 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 7.3 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 25.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.16 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.0 FP
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.3 FP
FantasyPros: 6.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.6 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.3–16.1 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Jake Bates	Cairo Santos
Next 3 weeks	25.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	16.3 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	92.0 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	81.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	31.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	31.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Jake Bates	Cairo Santos
Week 8	7.6 FPvs MINHigher projection	7.0 FPvs SEA
Week 9	9.1 FPvs MIA	9.3 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 10	8.6 FPvs NEHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	9.1 FPvs TBHigher projection	8.7 FPvs NO
Week 12	7.9 FPvs CHIHigher projection	7.8 FPvs DET
Week 13	8.4 FPvs ATL	8.5 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 14	9.7 FPvs TENHigher projection	8.5 FPvs MIA
Week 15	7.7 FPvs MIN	8.5 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 16	8.7 FPvs NYGHigher projection	7.8 FPvs GB
Week 17	7.4 FPvs CHI	7.9 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 18	7.8 FPvs GBHigher projection	7.5 FPvs MIN

Outlook updated Oct 30, 2:49 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.0 FP10.3 FP