FORTIFIED FANTASY

Week 82026 · Standard · DROP / ADD

Should I drop Jake Bates for Matt Gay?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Matt Gay is ahead by 0.4 FP this week, ahead by 0.0 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 6.8 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 31, 2:04 PM ET

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Jake Bates is 40.9% rostered; Matt Gay is 55.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Jake Bates

Jake Bates projects for 7.7 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 40.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.07 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy
7.7 FP
ESPN
8.5 FP
Sleeper
8.3 FP
FantasyPros
7.8 FP
FF median
6.9 FP
Boosted Trees
9.6 FP
Monte Carlo
8.4 FP
  • FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 4.4–10.7 FP · middle 80%: 2.1–14.6 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
  • Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
  • Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.3–15.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 8.1 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 55.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.49 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy
8.1 FP
ESPN
10.0 FP
Sleeper
8.6 FP
FantasyPros
7.7 FP
FF median
7.1 FP
Boosted Trees
6.7 FP
Monte Carlo
9.9 FP
  • FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 4.5–11.3 FP · middle 80%: 2.1–15.3 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
  • Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
  • Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.6–18.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 31, 1:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

WindowJake BatesMatt Gay
Next 3 weeks25.4 FP3/3 scheduled games projected26.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule92.5 FP11/11 scheduled games projected92.5 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–1831.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected38.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected
Weekly Drop / Add outlook
WeekJake BatesMatt Gay
Week 87.7 FPvs MIN8.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 99.1 FPvs MIA9.7 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 108.6 FPvs NE8.7 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 119.2 FPvs TBHigher projection9.0 FPvs DEN
Week 128.1 FPvs CHI9.1 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 138.6 FPvs ATLHigher projectionBYE
Week 149.6 FPvs TEN9.6 FPvs LAC
Week 157.5 FPvs MIN9.3 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 168.7 FPvs NYG10.4 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 177.7 FPvs CHI9.7 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 187.8 FPvs GB9.0 FPvs KCHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 31, 2:18 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

2.1 FP18.6 FP
  1. Tyler BassK · 62.3% rostered
    9.8
  2. Evan McPhersonK · 22.3% rostered
    9.2
  3. Chase McLaughlinK · 40.9% rostered
    8.9
  4. Chad RylandK · 25.4% rostered
    8.6
  5. Matt GayK · 55.9% rostered
    8.1
FEATURED · YOUR NEXT MOVE

GamePlan.Fortify your season.Own the playoffs.

See your season unfold. Build stronger lineups, make smarter moves and plan your playoff push. Think weeks ahead while your league mates are still figuring out Sunday.

Build my GamePlan

Screenshots or SignUp

See an example GamePlan ↗

YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
Example free-agent list with highlighted pickup recommendations
#1 Week · #1 ROS · #1 Playoffs
#3 Playoffs
#3 Week
● Week● ROS● PlayoffsFortifiedFantasy.com

Other moves involving Jake Bates

DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Tyler Bass9.8projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Evan McPherson9.2projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Chase McLaughlin8.9projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Chad Ryland8.6projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Tyler Loop8.0projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Harrison Butker7.8projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Cameron Dicker7.2projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · K
Jake Bates7.7projected FP
Cairo Santos7.1projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗

Your next Drop / Add decision

Browse every K move ↗ · Compare pickups ↗