Should I drop Harrison Butker for Wil Lutz?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Harrison Butker

This week’s projections are 8.5 FP for Harrison Butker and 8.1 FP for Wil Lutz. Harrison Butker retains a 8.7 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Harrison Butker

K · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

8.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

57.1%rostered on ESPN-0.49 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.0%rostered on ESPN+0.30 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Harrison Butker is 57.1% rostered; Wil Lutz is 7.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker projects for 8.5 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 6.7 FP. He is rostered in 57.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.49 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.5 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.1 FP
Sleeper: 7.9 FP
FantasyPros: 8.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 7.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.30 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Harrison Butker	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	25.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	16.6 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	83.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	74.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	33.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	32.9 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Harrison Butker	Wil Lutz
Week 9	8.5 FPvs NYJHigher projection	8.1 FPvs CAR
Week 10	8.2 FPvs ATLHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	8.4 FPvs ARI	8.5 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 12	8.1 FPvs BUF	8.6 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	8.2 FPvs LAR	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 14	8.4 FPvs CINHigher projection	8.1 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	8.2 FPvs NE	8.3 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 16	8.8 FPvs SFHigher projection	8.3 FPvs BUF
Week 17	8.0 FPvs LAC	8.0 FPvs NE
Week 18	8.5 FPvs LVHigher projection	8.2 FPvs LAC