Should I drop Harrison Butker for Jake Bates?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker retains a 4.1 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:55 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Harrison Butker

K · KC · vs DEN

Stats & schedule ›

7.8FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

60.5%rostered on ESPN-1.73 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Jake Bates

K · DET · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

7.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

41.0%rostered on ESPN+0.02 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Harrison Butker is 60.5% rostered; Jake Bates is 41.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker projects for 7.8 Standard points against DEN this week. His recent scoring average is 7.0 FP. He is rostered in 60.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.73 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.8 FP
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.7 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 2.2–16.5 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Jake Bates

Jake Bates projects for 7.6 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 41.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.6 FP
ESPN: 8.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.6 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.3–15.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Harrison Butker	Jake Bates
Next 3 weeks	25.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	25.3 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	96.2 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	92.0 FP11/11 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	35.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	31.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Harrison Butker	Jake Bates
Week 8	7.8 FPvs DENHigher projection	7.6 FPvs MIN
Week 9	9.2 FPvs NYJHigher projection	9.1 FPvs MIA
Week 10	8.6 FPvs ATL	8.6 FPvs NE
Week 11	9.0 FPvs ARI	9.1 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 12	8.8 FPvs BUFHigher projection	7.9 FPvs CHI
Week 13	8.6 FPvs LARHigher projection	8.4 FPvs ATL
Week 14	8.7 FPvs CIN	9.7 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 15	8.7 FPvs NEHigher projection	7.7 FPvs MIN
Week 16	9.5 FPvs SFHigher projection	8.7 FPvs NYG
Week 17	8.5 FPvs LACHigher projection	7.4 FPvs CHI
Week 18	8.8 FPvs LVHigher projection	7.8 FPvs GB

Outlook updated Oct 30, 3:10 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.0 FP10.3 FP