Should I drop Harrison Butker for Matt Gay?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Matt Gay is ahead by 0.5 FP this week, behind by 3.3 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 2.7 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:05 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Harrison Butker

K · KC · vs DEN

Stats & schedule ›

7.8FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

60.5%rostered on ESPN-1.78 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Matt Gay

K · LV · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

8.3FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

55.4%rostered on ESPN+2.87 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Harrison Butker is 60.5% rostered; Matt Gay is 55.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker projects for 7.8 Standard points against DEN this week. His recent scoring average is 7.0 FP. He is rostered in 60.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.78 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.8 FP
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.7 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 2.2–16.5 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 8.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 55.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 2.87 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.3 FP
ESPN: 10.0 FP
Sleeper: 8.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP
Monte Carlo: 9.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.6–18.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Harrison Butker	Matt Gay
Next 3 weeks	25.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	26.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	96.0 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	92.7 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	35.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	38.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Harrison Butker	Matt Gay
Week 8	7.8 FPvs DEN	8.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 9	8.9 FPvs NYJ	9.7 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 10	8.7 FPvs ATL	8.7 FPvs SEA
Week 11	9.0 FPvs ARI	9.0 FPvs DEN
Week 12	8.8 FPvs BUF	9.1 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 13	8.5 FPvs LARHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	8.6 FPvs CIN	9.6 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 15	8.7 FPvs NE	9.3 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 16	9.5 FPvs SF	10.4 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 17	8.5 FPvs LAC	9.7 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 18	8.9 FPvs LV	9.0 FPvs KCHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 2:14 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.0 FP10.3 FP