Should I drop Geno Smith for Joe Milton III?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Geno Smith

This week’s projections are 13.3 FP for Geno Smith and 9.0 FP for Joe Milton III. Geno Smith retains a 24.5 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 3:14 PM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

24.1%rostered on ESPN-1.30 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Joe Milton III

QB · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

9.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

3.9%rostered on ESPN+0.61 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Geno Smith is 24.1% rostered; Joe Milton III is 3.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.3 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 24.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.30 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 13.3 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 14.4 FP
FantasyPros: 14.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Joe Milton III

Joe Milton III projects for 9.0 Standard points against NYG this week. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 3.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.61 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.0 FP -4.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 13.7 FP
Sleeper: 11.8 FP
FantasyPros: 14.0 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Geno Smith	Joe Milton III
Next 3 weeks	44.7 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	20.2 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	140.0 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	115.5 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	63.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	48.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Geno Smith	Joe Milton III
Week 9	13.3 FPvs KCHigher projection	9.0 FPvs NYG
Week 10	17.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	14.4 FPvs LACHigher projection	11.2 FPvs PIT
Week 12	18.0 FPvs MIAHigher projection	15.8 FPvs DAL
Week 13	BYE	16.3 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 14	14.2 FPvs DEN	14.9 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 15	19.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection	9.9 FPvs SEA
Week 16	15.5 FPvs NEHigher projection	13.1 FPvs HOU
Week 17	12.1 FPvs MINHigher projection	11.3 FPvs SF
Week 18	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection	14.0 FPvs NYG