Should I drop Geno Smith for Jared Goff?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Jared Goff for Geno Smith

Jared Goff leads by 7.6 FP this week, 40.3 FP across the remaining schedule and does not meaningfully trail in the Weeks 15–18 forecast total. The projected outlook supports the swap if your roster can spare Geno Smith. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs MIA

Stats & schedule ›

20.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

90.0%rostered on ESPN-0.06 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered; Jared Goff is 90.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Jared Goff

Jared Goff projects for 20.6 Standard points against MIA this week. His recent scoring average is 13.5 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 90.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.06 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 20.6 FP
ESPN: 19.4 FP
Sleeper: 18.2 FP
FantasyPros: 18.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 21.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Geno Smith	Jared Goff
Next 3 weeks	43.3 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	54.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	136.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	177.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	61.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	67.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Geno Smith	Jared Goff
Week 9	13.0 FPvs KC	20.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 10	16.1 FPvs BUF	17.8 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 11	14.2 FPvs LAC	16.2 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 12	18.1 FPvs MIA	18.5 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	17.1 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 14	13.9 FPvs DEN	19.4 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 15	19.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection	13.8 FPvs MIN
Week 16	14.7 FPvs NE	18.9 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 17	11.9 FPvs MIN	18.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 18	15.7 FPvs BUF	16.6 FPvs GBHigher projection