Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Isaiah Likely?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Isaiah Likely for T.J. Hockenson

This week’s projections are 9.2 FP for T.J. Hockenson and 10.0 FP for Isaiah Likely. Isaiah Likely leads by 13.4 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 5:13 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

9.2FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

80.9%rostered on ESPN+0.40 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

10.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

95.5%rostered on ESPN+0.16 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

T.J. Hockenson is 80.9% rostered; Isaiah Likely is 95.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 9.2 Half-PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 12.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.40 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.2 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.5 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely projects for 10.0 Half-PPR points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 11.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 95.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.16 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.0 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.5 FP
Sleeper: 9.4 FP
FantasyPros: 10.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	T.J. Hockenson	Isaiah Likely
Next 3 weeks	26.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	33.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	93.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	106.9 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	39.9 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	43.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	T.J. Hockenson	Isaiah Likely
Week 9	9.2 FPvs BUF	10.0 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 10	8.0 FPvs GB	12.6 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 11	8.8 FPvs SF	10.5 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 12	9.1 FPvs ATL	10.9 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 13	9.2 FPvs CAR	10.1 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 14	9.2 FPvs NEHigher projection	9.0 FPvs SEA
Week 15	10.7 FPvs DETHigher projection	9.9 FPvs CLE
Week 16	10.5 FPvs WAS	12.5 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 17	9.3 FPvs NYJ	11.5 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 18	9.4 FPvs CHI	9.7 FPvs PHIHigher projection