Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Travis Kelce?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 9.2 FP for T.J. Hockenson and 9.9 FP for Travis Kelce. Travis Kelce is ahead by 4.1 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 0.7 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

9.2FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

81.0%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Travis Kelce

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

9.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.3%rostered on ESPN+0.02 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

T.J. Hockenson is 81.0% rostered; Travis Kelce is 92.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 9.2 Half-PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 12.7 FP. He is rostered in 81.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.2 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce projects for 9.9 Half-PPR points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 7.6 FP. He is rostered in 92.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.9 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.7 FP
Sleeper: 10.9 FP
FantasyPros: 10.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	T.J. Hockenson	Travis Kelce
Next 3 weeks	26.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	29.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	93.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	97.6 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	39.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	39.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	T.J. Hockenson	Travis Kelce
Week 9	9.2 FPvs BUF	9.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 10	8.0 FPvs GB	9.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 11	8.8 FPvs SF	10.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 12	9.1 FPvs ATL	9.8 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 13	9.2 FPvs CARHigher projection	9.0 FPvs LAR
Week 14	9.2 FPvs NE	9.8 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 15	10.7 FPvs DETHigher projection	9.7 FPvs NE
Week 16	10.5 FPvs WASHigher projection	9.3 FPvs SF
Week 17	9.3 FPvs NYJ	9.3 FPvs LAC
Week 18	9.4 FPvs CHI	10.9 FPvs LVHigher projection