Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Isaiah Likely?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Isaiah Likely for T.J. Hockenson

This week’s projections are 11.3 FP for T.J. Hockenson and 11.9 FP for Isaiah Likely. Isaiah Likely leads by 16.2 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:10 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

11.3FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

80.9%rostered on ESPN+0.43 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

11.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

95.5%rostered on ESPN+0.16 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

T.J. Hockenson is 80.9% rostered; Isaiah Likely is 95.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 11.3 PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 14.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.43 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 11.3 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.7 FP
Sleeper: 10.9 FP
FantasyPros: 10.2 FP

Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely projects for 11.9 PPR points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 13.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 95.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.16 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 11.9 FP -0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 12.7 FP
Sleeper: 11.5 FP
FantasyPros: 12.2 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	T.J. Hockenson	Isaiah Likely
Next 3 weeks	32.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	40.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	115.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	131.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	48.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	53.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	T.J. Hockenson	Isaiah Likely
Week 9	11.3 FPvs BUF	11.9 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 10	10.1 FPvs GB	15.3 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 11	11.2 FPvs SF	13.0 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 12	11.3 FPvs ATL	13.3 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 13	11.3 FPvs CAR	12.9 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 14	11.4 FPvs NE	11.4 FPvs SEA
Week 15	13.0 FPvs DETHigher projection	12.2 FPvs CLE
Week 16	12.8 FPvs WAS	15.4 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 17	11.4 FPvs NYJ	14.1 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 18	11.4 FPvs CHI	11.8 FPvs PHIHigher projection