Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for T.J. Hockenson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 7.5 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 9.2 FP for T.J. Hockenson. T.J. Hockenson is ahead by 1.9 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 2.2 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 11:50 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

7.5FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

9.2FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

81.0%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; T.J. Hockenson is 81.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 7.5 Half-PPR points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 11.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.5 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.9 FP
Sleeper: 7.7 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 9.2 Half-PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 12.7 FP. He is rostered in 81.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.2 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	T.J. Hockenson
Next 3 weeks	26.9 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	26.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	91.5 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	93.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	37.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	39.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	T.J. Hockenson
Week 9	7.5 FPvs MIN	9.2 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 10	9.2 FPvs NYJHigher projection	8.0 FPvs GB
Week 11	10.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	8.8 FPvs SF
Week 12	9.5 FPvs KCHigher projection	9.1 FPvs ATL
Week 13	9.2 FPvs NE	9.2 FPvs CAR
Week 14	8.3 FPvs GB	9.2 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 15	9.2 FPvs CHI	10.7 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	9.1 FPvs DEN	10.5 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	10.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	9.3 FPvs NYJ
Week 18	9.2 FPvs NYJ	9.4 FPvs CHIHigher projection