Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for T.J. Hockenson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 9.5 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 11.3 FP for T.J. Hockenson. T.J. Hockenson is ahead by 2.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 2.3 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:53 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

9.5FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.07 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

11.3FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

80.9%rostered on ESPN+0.40 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; T.J. Hockenson is 80.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 9.5 PPR points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 14.7 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.07 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.5 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.6 FP
Sleeper: 9.6 FP
FantasyPros: 9.5 FP

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 11.3 PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 14.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.40 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 11.3 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.7 FP
Sleeper: 10.9 FP
FantasyPros: 10.0 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	T.J. Hockenson
Next 3 weeks	33.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	32.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	112.7 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	115.2 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	46.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	48.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	T.J. Hockenson
Week 9	9.5 FPvs MIN	11.3 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 10	11.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	10.1 FPvs GB
Week 11	12.5 FPvs MIAHigher projection	11.2 FPvs SF
Week 12	11.7 FPvs KCHigher projection	11.3 FPvs ATL
Week 13	11.3 FPvs NE	11.3 FPvs CAR
Week 14	10.2 FPvs GB	11.4 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 15	11.3 FPvs CHI	13.0 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	11.2 FPvs DEN	12.8 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	12.5 FPvs MIAHigher projection	11.4 FPvs NYJ
Week 18	11.3 FPvs NYJ	11.4 FPvs CHIHigher projection