Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Isaiah Likely?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Isaiah Likely for Dalton Kincaid

This week’s projections are 7.6 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 10.0 FP for Isaiah Likely. Isaiah Likely leads by 15.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call. Dalton Kincaid is questionable; an injury designation alone is not a reason to drop him.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

7.6FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

Check current availability

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.07 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

10.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

95.5%rostered on ESPN+0.16 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; Isaiah Likely is 95.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 7.6 Half-PPR points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 11.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.07 percentage points. His injury designation needs monitoring; it does not by itself justify dropping him. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.6 FP +0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.9 FP
Sleeper: 7.8 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely projects for 10.0 Half-PPR points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 11.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 95.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.16 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.0 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.5 FP
Sleeper: 9.4 FP
FantasyPros: 10.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	Isaiah Likely
Next 3 weeks	27.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	33.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	91.6 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	106.9 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	37.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	43.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	Isaiah Likely
Week 9	7.6 FPvs MIN	10.0 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 10	9.2 FPvs NYJ	12.6 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 11	10.2 FPvs MIA	10.5 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 12	9.5 FPvs KC	10.9 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 13	9.2 FPvs NE	10.1 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 14	8.3 FPvs GB	9.0 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 15	9.2 FPvs CHI	9.9 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 16	9.1 FPvs DEN	12.5 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 17	10.2 FPvs MIA	11.5 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 18	9.2 FPvs NYJ	9.7 FPvs PHIHigher projection