Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Juwan Johnson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Dalton Kincaid

This week’s projections are 7.5 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 5.9 FP for Juwan Johnson. Dalton Kincaid retains a 33.5 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

7.5FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Juwan Johnson

TE · NO · vs CLE

Stats & schedule ›

5.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

45.0%rostered on ESPN-0.40 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; Juwan Johnson is 45.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 7.5 Half-PPR points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 11.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.5 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.9 FP
Sleeper: 7.7 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson projects for 5.9 Half-PPR points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 0.6 FP. He is rostered in 45.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.40 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.9 FP +0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.8 FP
Sleeper: 8.2 FP
FantasyPros: 7.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	Juwan Johnson
Next 3 weeks	26.9 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	17.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	91.5 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	58.0 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	37.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	23.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	Juwan Johnson
Week 9	7.5 FPvs MINHigher projection	5.9 FPvs CLE
Week 10	9.2 FPvs NYJHigher projection	5.8 FPvs CAR
Week 11	10.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	6.0 FPvs CHI
Week 12	9.5 FPvs KCHigher projection	6.0 FPvs CIN
Week 13	9.2 FPvs NEHigher projection	5.2 FPvs GB
Week 14	8.3 FPvs GBHigher projection	5.7 FPvs CAR
Week 15	9.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection	5.6 FPvs TB
Week 16	9.1 FPvs DENHigher projection	6.4 FPvs ARI
Week 17	10.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	5.7 FPvs ATL
Week 18	9.2 FPvs NYJHigher projection	5.7 FPvs TB