Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Isaiah Likely?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Isaiah Likely for Dalton Kincaid

This week’s projections are 5.8 FP for Dalton Kincaid and 7.9 FP for Isaiah Likely. Isaiah Likely leads by 12.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

5.8FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

7.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

95.5%rostered on ESPN+0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered; Isaiah Likely is 95.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 5.8 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.2 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.8 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.2 FP
Sleeper: 5.9 FP
FantasyPros: 5.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely projects for 7.9 Standard points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 9.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 95.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.9 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.2 FP
Sleeper: 7.3 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.8 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	Isaiah Likely
Next 3 weeks	20.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	25.7 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	70.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	82.9 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	29.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	34.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	Isaiah Likely
Week 9	5.8 FPvs MIN	7.9 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 10	7.1 FPvs NYJ	9.8 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 11	7.9 FPvs MIA	8.0 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 12	7.3 FPvs KC	8.6 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 13	7.0 FPvs NE	7.7 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 14	6.4 FPvs GB	6.9 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 15	7.1 FPvs CHI	7.8 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 16	6.8 FPvs DEN	9.7 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 17	7.9 FPvs MIA	8.9 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 18	7.1 FPvs NYJ	7.8 FPvs PHIHigher projection