FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
FLEX · Week 18 · Standard · RB / WR / TE
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 23.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.4Sleeper 19.7FantasyPros 19.023.1Expected FP - 2
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 21.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.7Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 20.121.5Expected FP - 3
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 19.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.6Sleeper 18.8FantasyPros 16.819.8Expected FP - 4
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.9Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 18.018.6Expected FP - 5
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs NOSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.4Sleeper 15.9FantasyPros 13.318.1Expected FP - 6
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.3Sleeper 18.3FantasyPros 15.317.2Expected FP - 7
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 15.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.0Sleeper 14.5FantasyPros 15.215.9Expected FP - 8
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 12.815.1Expected FP - 9
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 14.4FantasyPros 16.014.8Expected FP - 10
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs HOUSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 10.014.7Expected FP - 11
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 13.214.2Expected FP - 12
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.2Sleeper 12.1FantasyPros 11.913.9Expected FP - 13
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 12.113.6Expected FP - 14
Christian WatsonWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 13.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 12.713.1Expected FP - 15
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 12.512.8Expected FP - 16
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs BALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.6Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 11.212.8Expected FP - 17
Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.0Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 11.912.6Expected FP - 18
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 9.712.5Expected FP - 19
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 13.5FantasyPros 10.911.7Expected FP - 20
Brock BowersTE · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 9.411.6Expected FP - 21
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 10.111.6Expected FP - 22
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs TENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 11.511.4Expected FP - 23
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 12.311.2Expected FP - 24
George KittleTE · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 10.511.1Expected FP - 25
Mike EvansWR · SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 7.811.0Expected FP - 26
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 10.911.0Expected FP - 27
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 11.310.9Expected FP - 28
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs PHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 8.610.8Expected FP - 29
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs NYGSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.5Sleeper 12.0FantasyPros 9.710.8Expected FP - 30
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 9.710.7Expected FP - 31
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs CHISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 9.110.7Expected FP - 32
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 9.510.7Expected FP - 33
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 10.710.6Expected FP - 34
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs MIASun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 11.010.4Expected FP - 35
Breece HallRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 12.110.3Expected FP - 36
Drake LondonWR · ATL vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 9.310.2Expected FP - 37
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.4Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 9.410.2Expected FP - 38
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 10.610.1Expected FP - 39
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 9.59.8Expected FP - 40
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LVSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 8.29.7Expected FP - 41
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs GBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 9.79.5Expected FP - 42
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 8.69.5Expected FP - 43
Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs BUFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 10.09.4Expected FP - 44
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 7.89.3Expected FP - 45
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs DALSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 9.79.3Expected FP - 46
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 8.69.2Expected FP - 47
George PickensWR · DAL vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 9.19.0Expected FP - 48
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs NYJSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 8.49.0Expected FP - 49
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SEASun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 7.78.7Expected FP - 50
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs DETSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 10.18.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
