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Week 172026 · Standard

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 17 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
85 shown · common FP scale
0.016.7
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.2Expected FP
  3. 3
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  4. 4
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.3Expected FP
  5. 5
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  6. 6
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  7. 7
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  8. 8
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  9. 9
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  10. 10
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.1Expected FP
  11. 11
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  12. 12
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  13. 13
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  14. 14
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  15. 15
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  16. 16
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  17. 17
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  18. 18
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  19. 19
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  20. 20
    George PickensWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  21. 21
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  22. 22
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  23. 23
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  24. 24
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  25. 25
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  26. 26
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  28. 28
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  30. 30
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  31. 31
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  32. 32
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  33. 33
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  34. 34
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  35. 35
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  36. 36
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  37. 37
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  38. 38
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  39. 39
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  40. 40
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  41. 41
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  42. 42
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  43. 43
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  44. 44
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  45. 45
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  46. 46
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  47. 47
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  48. 48
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  49. 49
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  50. 50
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  51. 51
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  52. 52
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  53. 53
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  54. 54
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  55. 55
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  56. 56
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  57. 57
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  58. 58
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  59. 59
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  60. 60
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  61. 61
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.6Expected FP
  62. 62
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  63. 63
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  64. 64
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  65. 65
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  66. 66
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  67. 67
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
  68. 68
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.9Expected FP
  69. 69
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.8Expected FP
  70. 70
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.7Expected FP
  71. 71
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.5Expected FP
  72. 72
    Darnell MooneyWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.5Expected FP
  73. 73
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.4Expected FP
  74. 74
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  75. 75
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  76. 76
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.3Expected FP
  77. 77
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  78. 78
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  79. 79
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.2Expected FP
  80. 80
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.1Expected FP
  81. 81
    Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    3.1Expected FP
  82. 82
    Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    3.1Expected FP
  83. 83
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    2.9Expected FP
  84. 84
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.9Expected FP
  85. 85
    Chimere DikeWR · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    2.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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