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Week 172026 · PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 17 · PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
85 shown · common FP scale
0.324.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.2Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.0Expected FP
  3. 3
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    20.8Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.0Expected FP
  5. 5
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.9Expected FP
  6. 6
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.7Expected FP
  7. 7
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.7Expected FP
  8. 8
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.7Expected FP
  9. 9
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.4Expected FP
  10. 10
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.3Expected FP
  11. 11
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    17.2Expected FP
  12. 12
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  13. 13
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    15.6Expected FP
  14. 14
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  15. 15
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  16. 16
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  17. 17
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.8Expected FP
  18. 18
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  19. 19
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  20. 20
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.3Expected FP
  21. 21
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  22. 22
    George PickensWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  23. 23
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  24. 24
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  25. 25
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  26. 26
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  27. 27
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  28. 28
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  30. 30
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  31. 31
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  32. 32
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  33. 33
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.8Expected FP
  34. 34
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  35. 35
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  36. 36
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  37. 37
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  39. 39
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  40. 40
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  41. 41
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  42. 42
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  43. 43
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  44. 44
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  45. 45
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  46. 46
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  47. 47
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.6Expected FP
  48. 48
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  49. 49
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  50. 50
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  51. 51
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  52. 52
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  53. 53
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  54. 54
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  55. 55
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  56. 56
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.7Expected FP
  57. 57
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  58. 58
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  59. 59
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  60. 60
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  61. 61
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  62. 62
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  63. 63
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  64. 64
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  65. 65
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  66. 66
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  67. 67
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  68. 68
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  69. 69
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.0Expected FP
  70. 70
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.8Expected FP
  71. 71
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  72. 72
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  73. 73
    De'Zhaun StriblingWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  74. 74
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  75. 75
    Jordan WatkinsWR · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  76. 76
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  77. 77
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  78. 78
    Konata MumpfieldWR · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.8Expected FP
  79. 79
    Darnell MooneyWR · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  80. 80
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  81. 81
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  82. 82
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  83. 83
    Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  84. 84
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  85. 85
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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