FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
RB · Week 17 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.4Sleeper 27.1FantasyPros 22.124.6Expected FP - 2
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.8Sleeper 22.1FantasyPros 19.723.8Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 22.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.5Sleeper 22.1FantasyPros 18.822.4Expected FP - 4
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.9Sleeper 21.1FantasyPros 18.320.2Expected FP - 5
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.7Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 19.019.1Expected FP - 6
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.6Sleeper 18.4FantasyPros 17.918.5Expected FP - 7
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 17.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 15.817.3Expected FP - 8
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.1Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 17.817.2Expected FP - 9
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 12.716.8Expected FP - 10
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 16.1FantasyPros 15.116.4Expected FP - 11
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.0Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 15.415.8Expected FP - 12
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.8Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 14.815.8Expected FP - 13
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 15.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.4Sleeper 15.0FantasyPros 16.115.7Expected FP - 14
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.0Sleeper 18.1FantasyPros 14.714.9Expected FP - 15
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.4Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 13.714.3Expected FP - 16
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 14.513.9Expected FP - 17
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.4Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 13.113.6Expected FP - 18
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 11.613.0Expected FP - 19
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 12.612.9Expected FP - 20
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 13.5FantasyPros 9.812.7Expected FP - 21
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 11.912.5Expected FP - 22
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 12.712.1Expected FP - 23
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.6Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 10.812.0Expected FP - 24
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 12.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.9Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 11.412.0Expected FP - 25
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 10.310.9Expected FP - 26
Woody MarksRB · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 11.910.8Expected FP - 27
Breece HallRB · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 12.310.8Expected FP - 28
Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 9.810.4Expected FP - 29
Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.0Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 10.510.4Expected FP - 30
David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 8.610.2Expected FP - 31
Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 9.810.1Expected FP - 32
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 11.49.4Expected FP - 33
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 11.29.3Expected FP - 34
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 9.39.0Expected FP - 35
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 7.38.7Expected FP - 36
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 8.58.6Expected FP - 37
Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 10.28.6Expected FP - 38
Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 10.48.6Expected FP - 39
Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 8.58.5Expected FP - 40
Bam KnightRB · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 10.1FantasyPros 6.48.3Expected FP - 41
Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 8.78.0Expected FP - 42
Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 10.77.8Expected FP - 43
Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 6.97.8Expected FP - 44
RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs NESun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.5FantasyPros 5.67.5Expected FP - 45
Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 8.97.4Expected FP - 46
Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 7.17.3Expected FP - 47
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 6.77.2Expected FP - 48
Justice HillRB · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 5.27.2Expected FP - 49
Seth McGowanRB · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 8.66.7Expected FP - 50
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 10.9FantasyPros 3.96.7Expected FP - 51
Audric EstimeRB · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.4FantasyPros 6.06.3Expected FP - 52
Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 5.26.1Expected FP - 53
Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 5.56.0Expected FP - 54
TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 5.55.6Expected FP - 55
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 5.05.5Expected FP - 56
Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 5.0FantasyPros 5.35.3Expected FP - 57
Khalil HerbertRB · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 5.45.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
