FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 17 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.8Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 16.518.7Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.1Sleeper 18.5FantasyPros 14.918.3Expected FP - 3
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 14.914.8Expected FP - 4
George KittleTE · SF vs PHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 11.213.5Expected FP - 5
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 10.312.7Expected FP - 6
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 11.112.3Expected FP - 7
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 12.511.9Expected FP - 8
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 10.211.8Expected FP - 9
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 15.511.6Expected FP - 10
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs CHISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 11.210.7Expected FP - 11
Travis KelceTE · KC vs LACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 13.7FantasyPros 8.710.5Expected FP - 12
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 10.510.3Expected FP - 13
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 10.610.2Expected FP - 14
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs HOUMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 9.610.1Expected FP - 15
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 10.49.7Expected FP - 16
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.2Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 8.69.6Expected FP - 17
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 9.09.4Expected FP - 18
Michael MayerTE · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 10.29.3Expected FP - 19
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 7.58.4Expected FP - 20
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs SEASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 6.28.4Expected FP - 21
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 7.38.3Expected FP - 22
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs JACSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 8.78.3Expected FP - 23
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 8.88.1Expected FP - 24
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 7.28.0Expected FP - 25
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs DENSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 7.97.8Expected FP - 26
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs CINThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.27.6Expected FP - 27
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 8.97.2Expected FP - 28
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.37.2Expected FP - 29
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs GBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 6.27.0Expected FP - 30
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 5.46.7Expected FP - 31
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 9.86.4Expected FP - 32
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 5.16.4Expected FP - 33
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 7.76.1Expected FP - 34
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 7.36.0Expected FP - 35
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 6.35.9Expected FP - 36
Cade OttonTE · TB vs LARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 5.25.6Expected FP - 37
Nate BoerkircherTE · JAC vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 1.6FantasyPros 5.45.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
