FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 16 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.7Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 8.812.2Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 7.69.9Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 9.79.9Expected FP - 4
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 9.89.7Expected FP - 5
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 8.37.9Expected FP - 6
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 6.5FantasyPros 7.57.1Expected FP - 7
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 5.37.1Expected FP - 8
Travis KelceTE · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 5.96.9Expected FP - 9
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 6.06.6Expected FP - 10
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 6.16.3Expected FP - 11
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 5.36.3Expected FP - 12
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 6.16.2Expected FP - 13
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 8.16.1Expected FP - 14
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 7.0FantasyPros 5.05.8Expected FP - 15
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.6Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 5.85.8Expected FP - 16
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 5.35.8Expected FP - 17
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 5.05.7Expected FP - 18
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 4.95.7Expected FP - 19
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 3.9FantasyPros 4.65.6Expected FP - 20
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 6.15.5Expected FP - 21
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.3Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 4.54.9Expected FP - 22
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 3.14.8Expected FP - 23
Michael MayerTE · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 4.24.7Expected FP - 24
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.4Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 3.34.5Expected FP - 25
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 3.3FantasyPros 3.54.5Expected FP - 26
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 2.84.2Expected FP - 27
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 4.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.6Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 3.04.0Expected FP - 28
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.8Sleeper 3.1FantasyPros 2.33.8Expected FP - 29
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 3.33.8Expected FP - 30
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.3Sleeper 4.1FantasyPros 3.53.7Expected FP - 31
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.9Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 3.63.6Expected FP - 32
Cade OttonTE · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 3.7FantasyPros 2.63.4Expected FP - 33
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 2.6FantasyPros 3.63.2Expected FP - 34
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 3.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.6Sleeper 4.33.1Expected FP - 35
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 3.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.2Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 2.53.0Expected FP - 36
Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.5Sleeper 2.4FantasyPros 3.62.9Expected FP - 37
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.2Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 2.92.8Expected FP - 38
Charlie KolarTE · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 2.5Sleeper 2.6FantasyPros 2.62.8Expected FP - 39
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 2.4FantasyPros 2.12.8Expected FP - 40
David NjokuTE · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 2.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 2.9FantasyPros 2.52.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
Make your comparison
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