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Week 162026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 16 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
88 shown · common FP scale
0.020.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    18.3Expected FP
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.1Expected FP
  3. 3
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.7Expected FP
  4. 4
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    16.6Expected FP
  5. 5
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.7Expected FP
  6. 6
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.1Expected FP
  7. 7
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.9Expected FP
  8. 8
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  9. 9
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  10. 10
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.6Expected FP
  11. 11
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  12. 12
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  13. 13
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  14. 14
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  15. 15
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  16. 16
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  17. 17
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.9Expected FP
  18. 18
    George PickensWR · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  19. 19
    Carnell TateWR · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  20. 20
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  21. 21
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  22. 22
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  23. 23
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.6Expected FP
  24. 24
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  25. 25
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.4Expected FP
  26. 26
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  27. 27
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  28. 28
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  30. 30
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  31. 31
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  32. 32
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  33. 33
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.4Expected FP
  34. 34
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  35. 35
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  36. 36
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  37. 37
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.3Expected FP
  38. 38
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    9.2Expected FP
  39. 39
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  40. 40
    Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  41. 41
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.6Expected FP
  42. 42
    DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  43. 43
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  44. 44
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  45. 45
    Germie BernardWR · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  46. 46
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  47. 47
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  48. 48
    Pat BryantWR · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  49. 49
    Davante AdamsWR · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  50. 50
    Josh DownsWR · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  51. 51
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.3Expected FP
  52. 52
    Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  53. 53
    Tank DellWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  54. 54
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  55. 55
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  56. 56
    Romeo DoubsWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  57. 57
    Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  58. 58
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.7Expected FP
  59. 59
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  60. 60
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  61. 61
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.5Expected FP
  62. 62
    Keenan AllenWR · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  63. 63
    Mack HollinsWR · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  64. 64
    Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  65. 65
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  66. 66
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  67. 67
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  68. 68
    Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  69. 69
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  70. 70
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  71. 71
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  72. 72
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  73. 73
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  74. 74
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs CHIFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  75. 75
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  76. 76
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  77. 77
    Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.0Expected FP
  78. 78
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  79. 79
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.8Expected FP
  80. 80
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  81. 81
    Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
  82. 82
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  83. 83
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  84. 84
    Darnell MooneyWR · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.3Expected FP
  85. 85
    Travis HunterWR · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  86. 86
    Jerry JeudyWR · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.2Expected FP
  87. 87
    Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.1Expected FP
  88. 88
    Reggie VirgilWR · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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