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Week 162026 · Half-PPR

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Fortified Rankings.

RB · Week 16 · Half-PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
59 shown · common FP scale
0.424.4
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.6Expected FP
  2. 2
    Tony PollardRB · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.9Expected FP
  3. 3
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.8Expected FP
  4. 4
    Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    18.2Expected FP
  5. 5
    Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  7. 7
    D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  8. 8
    James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs DENFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.1Expected FP
  9. 9
    Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.0Expected FP
  10. 10
    Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
  11. 11
    Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs TBSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  12. 12
    Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  13. 13
    Chase BrownRB · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  14. 14
    Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs PITSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    13.7Expected FP
  15. 15
    Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.4Expected FP
  16. 16
    Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs JACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.1Expected FP
  17. 17
    Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  18. 18
    Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  19. 19
    Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  20. 20
    Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  21. 21
    Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.1Expected FP
  22. 22
    Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  23. 23
    Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs CARSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  24. 24
    Breece HallRB · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  25. 25
    Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs GBFri 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    9.9Expected FP
  26. 26
    Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs NESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  27. 27
    Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.5Expected FP
  28. 28
    Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SEAFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.1Expected FP
  29. 29
    Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  30. 30
    David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    8.5Expected FP
  31. 31
    Woody MarksRB · HOU vs PHIThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  32. 32
    Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  33. 33
    Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  34. 34
    Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.1Expected FP
  35. 35
    Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs WASSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.9Expected FP
  36. 36
    Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.6Expected FP
  37. 37
    RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  38. 38
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs DALSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  39. 39
    Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  40. 40
    Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  41. 41
    Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs ATLSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  42. 42
    Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs LARFri 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.1Expected FP
  43. 43
    Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  44. 44
    Bam KnightRB · ARI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  45. 45
    Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  46. 46
    Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs INDSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  47. 47
    Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.1Expected FP
  48. 48
    Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.0Expected FP
  49. 49
    Justice HillRB · BAL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  50. 50
    Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.9Expected FP
  51. 51
    TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  52. 52
    Audric EstimeRB · NO vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.6Expected FP
  53. 53
    Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.4Expected FP
  54. 54
    J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs BUFFri 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  55. 55
    Seth McGowanRB · IND vs CINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  56. 56
    Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs DETMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  57. 57
    Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  58. 58
    Corey KinerRB · NE vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    4.9Expected FP
  59. 59
    Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs MINSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailable
    4.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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