FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 13 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.9Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 12.815.2Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 11.714.3Expected FP - 3
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 12.912.6Expected FP - 4
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.5Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 11.312.4Expected FP - 5
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.2Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 11.411.9Expected FP - 6
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 12.1FantasyPros 10.911.7Expected FP - 7
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 12.111.3Expected FP - 8
Travis KelceTE · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 10.411.2Expected FP - 9
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.2Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 10.511.2Expected FP - 10
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 13.311.1Expected FP - 11
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 12.6FantasyPros 11.910.7Expected FP - 12
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 9.710.0Expected FP - 13
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 10.49.8Expected FP - 14
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 10.49.3Expected FP - 15
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 8.49.2Expected FP - 16
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 7.08.4Expected FP - 17
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 8.28.3Expected FP - 18
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 8.08.2Expected FP - 19
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 6.87.8Expected FP - 20
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 6.67.8Expected FP - 21
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 7.57.7Expected FP - 22
Terrance FergusonTE · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 9.47.7Expected FP - 23
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 5.87.4Expected FP - 24
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 5.57.1Expected FP - 25
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 5.87.0Expected FP - 26
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.7Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 10.26.7Expected FP - 27
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 5.16.5Expected FP - 28
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 7.36.3Expected FP - 29
Evan EngramTE · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 6.75.9Expected FP - 30
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.1Sleeper 4.9FantasyPros 6.25.5Expected FP - 31
Cade OttonTE · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 4.35.3Expected FP - 32
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.5Sleeper 7.15.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
