FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
RB · Week 13 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 25.3Sleeper 25.9FantasyPros 23.125.9Expected FP - 2
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 22.9FantasyPros 20.021.4Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.0Sleeper 19.0FantasyPros 19.619.6Expected FP - 4
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.3Sleeper 21.8FantasyPros 18.919.2Expected FP - 5
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.1Sleeper 18.3FantasyPros 14.919.0Expected FP - 6
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.6Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 15.818.4Expected FP - 7
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.8Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 15.115.9Expected FP - 8
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 16.415.7Expected FP - 9
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.7Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 14.715.7Expected FP - 10
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.8Sleeper 16.3FantasyPros 13.515.4Expected FP - 11
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 15.415.4Expected FP - 12
Javonte WilliamsRB · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 14.615.1Expected FP - 13
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.4Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 13.415.1Expected FP - 14
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.2Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 14.914.6Expected FP - 15
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.5Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 15.114.0Expected FP - 16
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 12.813.5Expected FP - 17
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.9Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 13.313.4Expected FP - 18
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs DENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 10.911.6Expected FP - 19
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.0Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 10.611.5Expected FP - 20
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.2Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 11.111.5Expected FP - 21
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 8.411.2Expected FP - 22
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.5Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 11.711.1Expected FP - 23
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 11.510.7Expected FP - 24
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 10.710.4Expected FP - 25
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 10.4FantasyPros 10.610.4Expected FP - 26
Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.2Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 9.810.0Expected FP - 27
Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 9.39.8Expected FP - 28
Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 8.78.8Expected FP - 29
RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.38.8Expected FP - 30
Woody MarksRB · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 9.68.4Expected FP - 31
David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 9.9FantasyPros 6.98.1Expected FP - 32
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 6.78.1Expected FP - 33
Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 5.6FantasyPros 9.88.0Expected FP - 34
Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 9.6FantasyPros 9.28.0Expected FP - 35
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 8.47.9Expected FP - 36
Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 6.27.9Expected FP - 37
Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 6.8FantasyPros 9.17.6Expected FP - 38
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 6.2FantasyPros 6.07.2Expected FP - 39
Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 6.27.1Expected FP - 40
Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 8.27.0Expected FP - 41
Bam KnightRB · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 8.5FantasyPros 5.67.0Expected FP - 42
Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 6.96.7Expected FP - 43
Audric EstimeRB · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.4FantasyPros 6.16.6Expected FP - 44
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 6.7FantasyPros 6.96.5Expected FP - 45
TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 7.16.4Expected FP - 46
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.5FantasyPros 5.86.4Expected FP - 47
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 9.1FantasyPros 3.86.3Expected FP - 48
MarShawn LloydRB · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 5.36.2Expected FP - 49
Kaleb JohnsonRB · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 0.0FantasyPros 4.75.9Expected FP - 50
J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 6.65.9Expected FP - 51
Corey KinerRB · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 6.25.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
