Should I start Alvin Kamara or Woody Marks? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: Woody Marks

Week 13 · Half-PPR

Woody Marks has the higher current FF forecast: 7.2 FP versus 6.8 FP. The 0.4-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.

Woody Marks: 8.3 FP recent scoring average.
Woody Marks: 2.5% matchup reduction against PIT.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ET · Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Alvin Kamara

RB · NOStats & schedule

6.8FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

vs GB

Sun 1:00 PM ET

FF PICK

Woody Marks

RB · HOUStats & schedule

7.2FF projected

↑ +1.2 vs ESPN

at PIT

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

16.723.8

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.1Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.1
23.8Expected FP
2
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 17.9Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 17.6
19.2Expected FP
3
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.4Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 16.7
17.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.