Fortified Fantasy

Week 122026 · Standard

WEEK CHECK

You’re viewing Week 12.

The current week is Week 10. Want to make a decision for this week instead?

View Week 10

FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER

Fortified Rankings.

QB · Week 12 · Standard

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·

QB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
31 shown · common FP scale
0.025.0
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    25.0Expected FP
  2. 2
    Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI vs DETThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    23.1Expected FP
  3. 3
    Jayden DanielsQB · WAS vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    22.9Expected FP
  4. 4
    Trevor LawrenceQB · JAC vs TENSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.1Expected FP
  5. 5
    Drake MayeQB · NE vs LACSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.6Expected FP
  6. 6
    Josh AllenQB · BUF vs KCThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.0Expected FP
  7. 7
    C.J. StroudQB · HOU vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.9Expected FP
  8. 8
    Jared GoffQB · DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.8Expected FP
  9. 9
    Jordan LoveQB · GB vs LARWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  10. 10
    Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs PHIThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.2Expected FP
  11. 11
    Patrick Mahomes IIQB · KC vs BUFThu 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.0Expected FP
  12. 12
    Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE vs LVSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.9Expected FP
  13. 13
    Tyler ShoughQB · NO vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.8Expected FP
  14. 14
    Geno SmithQB · NYJ vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.6Expected FP
  15. 15
    Kirk CousinsQB · MIN vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.5Expected FP
  16. 16
    J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.1Expected FP
  17. 17
    Bryce YoungQB · CAR vs TBMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  18. 18
    Brock PurdyQB · SF vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.8Expected FP
  19. 19
    Matthew StaffordQB · LAR vs GBWed 8:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.8Expected FP
  20. 20
    Bo NixQB · DEN vs PITFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  21. 21
    Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs DENFri 3:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.6Expected FP
  22. 22
    Jacoby BrissettQB · BAL vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.0Expected FP
  23. 23
    Joe Milton IIIQB · PHI vs DALThu 4:30 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.8Expected FP
  24. 24
    Fernando MendozaQB · LV vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.5Expected FP
  25. 25
    Justin HerbertQB · LAC vs NESun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.9Expected FP
  26. 26
    Baker MayfieldQB · TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.8Expected FP
  27. 27
    Carson BeckQB · ARI vs WASSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  28. 28
    Daniel JonesQB · IND vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.3Expected FP
  29. 29
    Cam WardQB · TEN vs JACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.2Expected FP
  30. 30
    Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL vs MINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  31. 31
    Kyle McCordQB · MIA vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

Make your comparison

FEATURED · YOUR NEXT MOVE

GamePlan.Fortify your season.Own the playoffs.

See your season unfold. Build stronger lineups, make smarter moves and plan your playoff push. Think weeks ahead while your league mates are still figuring out Sunday.

Build my GamePlan

Screenshots or SignUp

See an example GamePlan ↗

YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
Example free-agent list with highlighted pickup recommendations
#1 Week · #1 ROS · #1 Playoffs
#3 Playoffs
#3 Week
● Week● ROS● PlayoffsFortifiedFantasy.com