FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
WR · Week 11 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.1Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 21.524.3Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.6Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 20.123.1Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.7Sleeper 17.4FantasyPros 16.020.5Expected FP - 4
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 19.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.4Sleeper 19.5FantasyPros 19.619.8Expected FP - 5
Malik NabersWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.0Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 17.217.4Expected FP - 6
Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 16.417.1Expected FP - 7
George PickensWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 16.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 16.916.9Expected FP - 8
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 16.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 15.016.4Expected FP - 9
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.8Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.616.0Expected FP - 10
Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 15.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.1Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.615.7Expected FP - 11
Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.2Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 14.615.0Expected FP - 12
Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.4Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 13.514.8Expected FP - 13
Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.9Sleeper 17.6FantasyPros 13.514.7Expected FP - 14
Carnell TateWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 14.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.0Sleeper 14.9FantasyPros 14.814.5Expected FP - 15
Rashee RiceWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 12.013.8Expected FP - 16
DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 16.5FantasyPros 13.613.7Expected FP - 17
Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.0Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 12.413.3Expected FP - 18
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 12.612.7Expected FP - 19
Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 12.312.7Expected FP - 20
Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 14.212.6Expected FP - 21
DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 12.312.6Expected FP - 22
Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.3Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 11.612.6Expected FP - 23
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 12.412.4Expected FP - 24
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 12.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 12.112.1Expected FP - 25
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 12.611.9Expected FP - 26
Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 12.311.8Expected FP - 27
Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 11.5FantasyPros 12.611.8Expected FP - 28
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 11.211.8Expected FP - 29
Mike EvansWR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.3Sleeper 17.6FantasyPros 8.611.2Expected FP - 30
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 8.6FantasyPros 11.011.1Expected FP - 31
Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 10.610.5Expected FP - 32
Tre TuckerWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 10.110.2Expected FP - 33
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 9.410.2Expected FP - 34
Germie BernardWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 9.310.2Expected FP - 35
DK MetcalfWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 9.7FantasyPros 10.410.2Expected FP - 36
Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 9.79.9Expected FP - 37
Pat BryantWR · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 7.89.8Expected FP - 38
Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.3FantasyPros 9.19.8Expected FP - 39
Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 9.59.6Expected FP - 40
Josh DownsWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 9.99.6Expected FP - 41
Jordyn TysonWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 11.29.5Expected FP - 42
Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 8.69.3Expected FP - 43
Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.89.2Expected FP - 44
Makai LemonWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 10.49.1Expected FP - 45
Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.9Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 9.68.9Expected FP - 46
Tank DellWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 2.9FantasyPros 9.88.7Expected FP - 47
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.1Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 10.28.5Expected FP - 48
Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 9.78.1Expected FP - 49
Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.0Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 8.18.0Expected FP - 50
Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 5.8FantasyPros 7.87.7Expected FP - 51
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 6.27.6Expected FP - 52
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.6Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 9.57.5Expected FP - 53
Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 6.4FantasyPros 8.27.5Expected FP - 54
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 5.97.3Expected FP - 55
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 6.47.3Expected FP - 56
Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 8.67.1Expected FP - 57
Keenan AllenWR · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 9.4FantasyPros 7.27.0Expected FP - 58
Roman WilsonWR · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.3FantasyPros 5.97.0Expected FP - 59
Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 6.86.9Expected FP - 60
Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 7.26.5Expected FP - 61
Chris BellWR · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.5Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 6.35.8Expected FP - 62
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.4Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 8.05.8Expected FP - 63
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 5.25.8Expected FP - 64
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 4.0FantasyPros 6.85.6Expected FP - 65
Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 5.95.3Expected FP - 66
Dohnte MeyersWR · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.2Sleeper 2.5FantasyPros 6.25.2Expected FP - 67
Tez JohnsonWR · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 4.4FantasyPros 3.75.2Expected FP - 68
Jalen NailorWR · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 3.4FantasyPros 5.25.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
