FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 11 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.9Sleeper 18.2FantasyPros 15.819.0Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 15.816.7Expected FP - 3
Travis KelceTE · KC vs ARISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 14.2FantasyPros 14.413.5Expected FP - 4
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 11.412.7Expected FP - 5
George KittleTE · SF vs MINSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 14.0FantasyPros 11.212.2Expected FP - 6
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 12.511.9Expected FP - 7
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs JACSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.2Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 10.111.4Expected FP - 8
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs SFSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.8Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 9.411.2Expected FP - 9
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 14.411.1Expected FP - 10
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 10.5FantasyPros 13.111.0Expected FP - 11
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs CINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 9.3FantasyPros 12.110.1Expected FP - 12
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs PITSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 10.99.9Expected FP - 13
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs HOUThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 9.69.7Expected FP - 14
Michael MayerTE · LV vs DENSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 9.49.1Expected FP - 15
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 7.19.0Expected FP - 16
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 8.39.0Expected FP - 17
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs INDThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 8.48.7Expected FP - 18
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 6.98.3Expected FP - 19
Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 6.37.6Expected FP - 20
Cade OttonTE · TB vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.6Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 8.37.5Expected FP - 21
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 8.97.4Expected FP - 22
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 5.57.4Expected FP - 23
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs BUFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.37.3Expected FP - 24
Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 5.07.1Expected FP - 25
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 5.7FantasyPros 4.26.4Expected FP - 26
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs NYJSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 5.0FantasyPros 5.66.0Expected FP - 27
Evan EngramTE · DEN vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 5.5FantasyPros 5.65.6Expected FP - 28
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 4.8FantasyPros 4.05.4Expected FP - 29
Elijah HigginsTE · ARI vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 4.2Sleeper 7.05.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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