
Should I start Detroit Lions or New York Giants this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Detroit Lions
+0.6 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Detroit Lions over New York Giants for Week 9 Standard: 7.2 projected points versus 6.5.
- Detroit Lions: 6.25% matchup lift against MIA.
- New York Giants: 2 external sources project points.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

Need a D/ST off waivers?


New York Giants
DST ยท NYGStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions faces MIA in Week 9. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
New York Giants
New York Giants faces PHI in Week 9.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
D/ST. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Seattle SeahawksD/ST ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 7.49.0Expected FP - 2
Houston TexansD/ST ยท HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.5FantasyPros 8.08.8Expected FP - 3
Jacksonville JaguarsD/ST ยท JAC vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETP10 -1.5P90 18.7Median 7.4Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 7.27.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 9 decisions
Detroit Lions7.2projected FP
Jacksonville Jaguars7.7projected FP
Detroit Lions7.2projected FP
New Orleans Saints7.2projected FP
Detroit Lions7.2projected FP
Kansas City Chiefs7.1projected FP
Detroit Lions7.2projected FP
Denver Broncos6.8projected FP
Seattle Seahawks9.0projected FP
Houston Texans8.8projected FP
Houston Texans8.8projected FP
Jacksonville Jaguars7.7projected FP
Jacksonville Jaguars7.7projected FP
New Orleans Saints7.2projected FP
Kansas City Chiefs7.1projected FP
Denver Broncos6.8projected FP
Denver Broncos6.8projected FP
Buffalo Bills6.7projected FP
Buffalo Bills6.7projected FP
Chicago Bears6.7projected FP