THE ALTERNATIVE
DEN D/ST
DST ยท DENStats & schedule โบ7.0FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start DEN D/ST or KC D/ST this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start KC D/ST
Week 7 ยท Standard
KC D/ST receives the better positional matchup adjustment (5% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
KC D/ST
DST ยท KCStats & schedule โบ6.6FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
DEN D/ST
FF7.0 FP
Boosted Trees4.6 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.7 FP.
KC D/ST
FF6.6 FP
Boosted Trees7.4 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo6.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.5 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
Projection breakdown
DEN D/ST
Fortified7.0
ESPN5.9
Sleeper8.4
FantasyProsโ
DEN D/ST faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.7 fantasy points.
KC D/ST
Fortified6.6
ESPN6.7
Sleeper5.8
FantasyProsโ
KC D/ST faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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