THE ALTERNATIVE
Deion Burks
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ0.4FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Deion Burks or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Payne Durham
Week 7 ยท Standard
Payne Durham receives the better positional matchup adjustment (1.25% versus -3.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ0.6FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Deion Burks
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.8 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload0.5 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Deion Burks
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
Deion Burks faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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